Who should you bet on in the 2026 Recopa Catarinense?

Florianópolis, March 03, 2026.

In this 2026 season, we will have another encounter between two great rivals of Santa Catarina football – Avaí, the current state champion, faces Figueirense, winner of the Santa Catarina Cup. Although the visitors have a certain tradition in local football, today the home team is the one with more quality.

The Lion of the Island competes in the Brazilian Serie B, and Figueira in Serie C, also being a team seriously threatened by relegation in the state championship – the track record of these and other teams can be checked in the section on yesterday's football match results, with an immense amount of sports results.

How are the teams doing at the moment?

Regarding the teams themselves, Avaí is currently in the best form, although they are no longer in a position to win the state championship this season, having been eliminated by Camboriú in the quarterfinals, which is also a cause for concern for a team that is always considered one of the contenders for the competition title.

However, Figueira's situation is much worse – the team has enormous difficulties winning its games and, largely because of this, is at risk of relegation in the state championship, which is terrible news for a team that is already far from the elite of football.

This season, the two teams have already faced each other – with a 2-0 victory for Avaí, who even played a good part of the game with one less player, but even so, Figueira, who were playing at home, couldn't pose much of a threat to the home team.

What could the future be like?

Obviously, this next game could be different and Athletico Paranaense could put on a much better performance, but the scenario doesn't seem to be that way at the moment, as it's actually leaning more towards the opposite, since the situation is more favorable to Avaí, a team that will also have the advantage of playing at home in this match.

Looking even further into the future, Figueira's situation still involves avoiding a total catastrophe, since a possible relegation in the state championship and a defeat in the Recopa would constitute a terrible first half of the year, but one that can be overcome – however, relegation in the Brazilian Serie C would be catastrophic.

At the same time, the scenario is more favorable for Avaí, which competes in the national Serie B and has a stronger team, but a possible victory and title in this match cannot serve as a smokescreen for a state championship where the team fell short and showed that there are problems to be corrected – especially because the level of the teams they will face in the Brazilian second division is higher than several teams they have faced so far.

How should the game be?

Therefore, the answer to the question would be: by all indications, betting on Avaí is the right choice at the moment. The Lion of the Island plays at home and is going through a better period than its opponent, even though it's one of the great regional derbies, but as always in this type of game, you can't consider the opponent finished.